The number is the whole argument. The deep dive costs USD 233K. Being wrong costs at least USD 6.6M. That's a 28× gap, and it holds between 26.6× and 30.3× wherever you land in the cost band. The 233K is the full Year 1 deep-dive. The 6.6M is the five risk lines below, added up, with the math on every card.
Every card below is a decision you're about to make. Each one shows three things: what the public data won't tell you, what the deep dive uncovers, and what it costs to skip it — in dollars. Two tags do the heavy lifting. RED ALERT or MONITOR tells you how fast it hurts. VERIFIED or MODELED tells you how sure we are. Read the tags first.
One of these already happened. Four of the five lines are modeled — built from public benchmarks, math shown. One is real: after the Good Vibes Festival 2023 shutdown the organiser pursued USD 2.4M in damages, with a court reference on the card. We never let a model pass as a fact. If we did, the one real line would be worthless — and it's the biggest line here.
Three you might be about to sign. Lower down are three illustrative scenarios — the kind the deep-dive layer is built to surface before a signature: a partner with an open lawsuit, a headliner quietly on hold for a rival festival the same weekend, an audience your marketing plan didn't know was there. Each maps to a real vendor capability in the Oimatter network — these are what the layer looks for, shown as worked examples. We don't create the risk — we find it while you can still walk away.
And this is only the part we can measure. Five lines, one real precedent, 28× — that's the exposure we can put a number on. But if there's a floor, something sits under it. Beneath the USD 6.6M are assumptions nobody has checked yet — not because they're small, but because no one looked. That's the one thing on this page we still can't price. It has a name.
